INDICADORES DE ALERTA TEMPRANA DE VULNERABILIDAD MACROECONÓMICA (EARLY WARNING INDICATORS OF MACROECONOMIC VULNERABILITY)
INDICADORES DE ALERTA TEMPRANA DE VULNERABILIDAD MACROECONÓMICA (EARLY WARNING INDICATORS OF MACROECONOMIC VULNERABILITY)
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Las crisis financieras generan efectos macroeconómicos nocivos que terminan por afectar el nivel de vida de la mayoría de la población. La identificación, prevención o minimización de sus efectos es tarea de las autoridades económicas, que utilizan distintas herramientas de diagnóstico. En este artículo se explica la metodología de Goldstein, Kaminsky y Reinhart para construir un sistema de indicadores de alerta temprana de crisis financieras, que introduce conceptos innovadores para la realización del análisis y, además, está diseñada para ser aplicada en los países considerados mercados emergentes.
Keywords: Financial crises generate injurious macroeconomic effects that finish affecting the standard of life of the majority of the population. Identification, prevention, or minimization of their effects is task of the economic authorities that use different tools for diagnosis. In this article the methodology of Goldstein, Kaminsky and Reinhart for the construction of indicators of early warning system of financial crises is explained, introducing some innovating concepts for the accomplishment of the analysis and, in addition, it is designed to be applied in the developing countries so-called emerging markets.Article visits 228 | PDF visits 168
